Odds for The Big O Award

Posted: March 1, 2011 by robjoneslyes in Posted by Rob Jones

 

2011 Oscar Robertson Award Odds

Not that I condone gambling, but if you were to place a wager on who would win the Oscar Robertson Award, given to the nation’s best player by the US Basketball Writers Association, here’s what the odds might look like for the finalists…

Jimmer Fredette -#3  BYU – 27.3 PPG 4.3 APG  – 2-1

Sports writers, although a creative/talented bunch, like a story that is easy to write most of the time. A guy named Jimmer, playing for a mid-major Mormon school, taking them to a potential #1 seed, leading the nation in scoring, all the while being  as athletically gifted as your everyday YMCA player, is about as easy of a story as it gets. I think the writers will reward him for that. Also, Jimmer has to be the most valuable of anyone on this list, so that gives him the edge over the rest.

Nolan Smith – #4 Duke – 21.3 PPG 5.3 APG – 5-2

Smith has really picked up the slack for the injured Kyrie Irving for the Dukies, keeping them ranked in the top 5 all year. If defense matters in this award at all, Smith will get plenty of first place votes. The only reason I wouldn’t put his odds higher than Jimmer is because everyone loves an underdog/Cinderella story and Smith is about the furthest thing playing for Duke. Has been getting a national media push, led by Jeff Goodman of FoxSports, so don’t be surprised if he takes the trophy.

Jared Sullinger – #1 Ohio St. – 17.4 PPG 9.8 RPG – 6-1

If this were college football and the winner was the best player on the best team, Sullinger would be even money. However, college hoops works a little different, almost punishing you if you play around great players. Anyone with two 40 & 20 games under their belt in their freshman season deserves to be first team All-American, but player of the year may be tough to win.

Kemba Walker – #15 UCONN – 22.8 PPG 5.2 RPG – 8-1

UCONN has struggled a little as of late and that directly coorelates with Walker not playing up to the stratospheric level he did earlier in the year. However, Walker has played consistently tougher competition than the others on this list. There was no way he was going to match his 30 PPG from earlier in the season during Big East play, but it shouldn’t be forgotten that for half the year there was no question who the best in the land was.

Jordan Hamilton – #7 Texas – 18.8 PPG 7.5 RPG – 9-1

If Texas wins the rest of their regular season games and the Big 12 tourney, people will start realizing what a great player Hamilton has been for the Horns. He might be the most complete player of finalist being able to shoot the 3, play on the block, and get after it defensively. Too much star-power at the top of this list for Hamilton to have a shot at winning, but he deserves 1st team AA consideration and belongs in the discussion for this award.

JuJuan Johnson – #6 Purdue – 20.4 PPG 8.1 RPG – 13-1

Johnson might be the most underrated player in the country for a team that was somewhat written off after the injury to Robbie Hummel. Johnson is cut from the fabric of old-school displaying an array of post-moves and a soft mid-range jumper. Like Hamilton, he deserves to be on this list, but has no chance of winning. Well… I guess he has a 13-1 chance.

Derrick Williams – #18 Arizona – 19.1 PPG 8.1 RPG – 16-1

Williams is definitely the player on this list that is most likely to show up on SportsCenter’s Top 10 plays, but the struggles of his Wildcats in the last week has nearly dropped them out of the polls and him out of the conversation for POY.  The players that top this list are proven leaders that don’t disappear in the clutch like Williams has in Zona’s recent losses. To his credit, he did have a game winning block and the best alley-oop dunk of the season, just not enough to garnish any hardware.

Marcus Morris – #2 Kansas – 17.3 PPG 6.9 RPG – 25-1

The next 3 on this list seem to me to be throw-ins from traditional powers who have the numbers, but haven’t been in POY discussion since the first couple weeks of the year. I do have this question: How do you think Markieff Morris (Marcus’ twin) feels about this? MK. Morris averages only 3 less points and almost 3 more rebounds than MC. Morris. Has to be awkward.

Kyle Singler – #4 Duke – 17.4 PPG 6.5 RPG – 35-1

Must be a requirement for sports writers to include two Dukies on this list every year. not that Singler doesn’t deserve props for his accomplishments this year, but it would have been cool to add Cleveland State’s sensational PG Norris Cole or Wisconsin PG Jordan Taylor instead. Would love to have Singler on my team, there are just players in the country that are more well-deserving of a finalist nod.

Terrence Jones – #22 Kentucky – 17.3 PPG 9.1 RPG – 50-1

There is no reason Jones should be on this list except sheer numbers. Even the Big Blue faithful, who are loyal to a fault sometimes, would tell you Jones isnb’t even the best player on his own team, much less the country. Put Brandon Knight on this list if you want to have a representative from Kentucky and I have no qualms. However, Jones has disappeared too many times on the road to be included here. Plus, like Cal said, he’s a selfish m&%*^% f%$^k%$, no place for that here.

 

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